Price-Action Trend + Prev-Day Breakout (Yashraj Rana)

The claim

Define the daily trend (two higher highs = up, two lower lows = down), then trade only WITH it — break of the previous day's high in an uptrend, previous day's low in a downtrend, on the 3–15 min chart. Never set a target: trail and square off intraday. Risk 1%, max 3 trades, stop after two stop-losses.

How we tested it

Mechanized the exact setup on 48 Nifty-50 stocks, 15-min, 2 years, with the real Zerodha MIS cost model + slippage — trend-filter ON vs OFF, then stripped to zero costs and zero slippage to isolate any raw directional edge.

The data

Our verdict

The most responsible, genuinely useful trading education in this entire series. The advice — trade with the higher-timeframe trend, never hand the market a target, risk ~1%, stop after two losses, don't trade every day, master one pattern — is sound, honest and risk-first, and he openly tells viewers to build their own rules rather than copy his. As coaching, it's a cut above the rest.

But the one concrete intraday setup he freezes on the chart has no measurable edge. Stripped of all costs and slippage it wins just 33% at a ~2:1 payoff — sitting exactly on the break-even line. His prized daily trend filter doesn't improve the per-trade economics (≈−₹294 with it, −₹296 without); it merely halves the number of trades, so its real benefit is 'trade less' — risk control, not an edge. Add real MIS costs and it loses about ₹294 a trade, negative every year and on both the long and short side. Take the discipline; the specific previous-day-range breakout is another intraday setup the ~14bps cost floor quietly sinks.