Strategy review
Bollinger Double-Top/Bottom Fakeout (Priyank)
Reviewed video: “Bollinger Band fakeout reversal strategy”
★☆☆☆☆
1.0/5
The claim
Fade an M-top at the upper band or a W-bottom at the lower band; enter on the neckline break, target 1R plus a runner, stop beyond the band.
How we tested it
Nifty-50, 5-min, over 13,324 trades — a huge, conclusive sample.
The data
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Win rate % | +31.00 |
| Payoff (×) | +0.79 |
| Expectancy R | -0.36 |
Our verdict
A classic-looking reversal pattern with a clearly defined neckline-break trigger.
Payoff below 1.0 means the winners are smaller than the losers — the exact opposite of the '1:1 plus runner' pitch. Fading band breakouts gets you run over on trend days: −0.36R, −₹2.75M (and −₹6.66M at realistic slippage) over 13,324 trades. Another mean-reversion fade the market steamrolls.
Bottom line
★☆☆☆☆ 1.0/5