Strategy review
SuperTrend + Moving Average (Milan)
Reviewed video: “SuperTrend + Moving Average Powerful Swing/Multibagger Strategy”
The claim
Combine SuperTrend(10,3) with a 10-SMA on 'monopoly/duopoly' growth stocks. Enter on a SuperTrend breakout (and add on dips when price crosses back above the 10-SMA), exit on the SuperTrend breakdown. On the weekly chart it 'catches multibaggers'; on daily it gives swing trades.
How we tested it
Mechanized both modes — breakout (SuperTrend flip) and SMA-cross swing — on 158 quality large/mid-caps, daily and weekly, 8 years, long-only, with real Zerodha delivery costs and slippage. Crucially, every result is benchmarked against simply BUY-AND-HOLDING the same stock.
The data
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Weekly: strategy median | +92.00 |
| Weekly: buy & hold median | +179.00 |
| Daily: strategy median | +50.00 |
| Daily: buy & hold median | +175.00 |
Our verdict
The fat tail is real: on the weekly the best trade returned ~+5,900% and roughly 70 trades more than doubled. SuperTrend is a legitimate trailing stop, and there's a genuine grain of truth in 'catch multibaggers' — when a stock trends hard, the system rides it.
But two findings gut the pitch. First, the weekly edge is almost entirely one year — ~62% of the 8-year profit came from the 2020 COVID rebound, and 2024, 2025 and 2026 are all flat-to-negative. Second, and decisively: it beat simple buy-and-hold in only ~8% (daily) and ~18% (weekly) of stocks, while buy-hold's median return (~+175%) roughly doubled the strategy's. Trading in and out of a real compounder whipsaws you out and taxes the very multibaggers it claims to catch. The on-screen examples (Zomato, BSE, HAL, Anant Raj) are after-the-fact winners. Use it as an exit/trailing tool — on a true grower, just hold.
Bottom line
★★☆☆☆ 2.0/5